Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000133 0.000146 0.000162 0.000179 0.000198 0.000220
2025-07-06 0.000092 0.000110 0.000129 0.000154 0.000184 0.000220 0.000266
2025-07-13 0.000079 0.000099 0.000123 0.000155 0.000196 0.000249 0.000321
2025-07-20 0.000070 0.000092 0.000119 0.000157 0.000209 0.000279 0.000380
2025-07-27 0.000062 0.000084 0.000114 0.000156 0.000216 0.000301 0.000431
2025-08-03 0.000058 0.000080 0.000111 0.000158 0.000228 0.000331 0.000495
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000075 0.000106 0.000156 0.000233 0.000349 0.000544
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000070 0.000103 0.000155 0.000238 0.000369 0.000597
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000065 0.000098 0.000152 0.000240 0.000384 0.000644
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000061 0.000093 0.000147 0.000239 0.000393 0.000681
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000058 0.000091 0.000147 0.000246 0.000416 0.000745
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000056 0.000090 0.000149 0.000256 0.000445 0.000825
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000053 0.000086 0.000146 0.000256 0.000459 0.000880
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000049 0.000081 0.000140 0.000252 0.000462 0.000915
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000140 0.000259 0.000491 0.001005
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000045 0.000078 0.000142 0.000270 0.000526 0.001117
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000076 0.000141 0.000274 0.000549 0.001205
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000143 0.000285 0.000588 0.001335
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000040 0.000073 0.000142 0.000288 0.000607 0.001422
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000140 0.000291 0.000630 0.001521
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000138 0.000292 0.000645 0.001603
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000133 0.000288 0.000650 0.001660
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000134 0.000294 0.000681 0.001791